Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth



› Home

› Curriculum Vitae

› Publications

› Working Papers

› Olympic Predictions


Jack Byrne Professor of International Economics

Who Will Win The Olympic Games?





Jolly Good Show: Who Will Win the 2012 Olympic Games in London

Emily Williams, a recent Tuck grad from the UK, has implemented my Olympic prediction technology.

Click here to see her page and the report with the medal predictions.






Previous Olympics

Going for the Gold: Who Will Win the 2008 Olympic Games in Beijing

The US will top the total medal ranks with 105, followed by Russia 92 and China 81.

China will edge out the US for the most gold medals, 37 to 36.

Click to see the complete study


Previous studies predicting total and gold medals by country in the 2004 and 2000 summer games in Athens and Sydney are available below:

The research and predictions for the Athens 2004 Summer Games

A table of predicted total medals and gold medals by country for the Athens 2004 Summer Games

Links to data and predictions for the Sydney Games:

Pre-Olympics predictions versus actual medal totals for the Sydney games

The published version of the original academic research report - (viewable only) published in the Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 86, Issue 1 - February 2004. This paper details the methodology and reports on the predictions made before the Sydney 2000 Games. (printable version - not journal formattted.)

Data used in the published paper (this is an excel spreadsheet).

An executive summary of the research and predictions for the 2000 Summer Games

Data on medal totals by country and year through 1996

© Copyright 2008 by Andrew B. Bernard