internet and the 'stickiness' of prices
At the heart of the value creation in many internet enterprises is increased flexibility in prices. Why does making prices more flexible create value? -- because markets in which prices cannot change as quickly as supply and demand changes are economically inefficient. Innovations that enhance price flexibility make the market more efficient. The increased efficiency represents value, and whoever can reduce the frictions that prevent prices from adjusting to demand and supply changes, can have a part of that value.
A variety of internet enterprises are making prices less sticky (more flexible). From online auctions in business to business (B2B) and retail markets, to catalog sellers who adjust their 'overstock' prices daily, to websites where buyers state the price at which they will buy, prices are becoming more dynamic. These enterprises are adding value in several dimensions: they reduce administration and search costs for their users; they supply useful industry information; they reduce information asymmetry; and of course bring buyers and sellers together. But crucially, they are also harnessing the internet's strength in collecting and disseminating information to make prices respond more quickly to supply and demand shifts.
This aspect of the expansion of the internet into every corner of commerce is tremendously important but much overlooked. The inefficiencies caused by inflexible prices are huge in many markets and the value released by freeing prices to move with supply and demand is commensurately large. The good news is that in most markets the potential gains from increased price flexibility are still up for grabs.
The Paradigm article --'sticky prices'-- explains how inefficiency arises from sticky prices. This companion article looks at three crucial questions. How does the internet affect the stickiness of prices? What types of markets will the internet impact in terms of price flexibility? Who will get the value released by increased efficiency?
Jumping ahead somewhat, note that the natural market process of matching supply and demand involves a continuous cycle of information collection and dissemination.
The internet speeds up the information cycle because it changes the cost structure of collecting and disseminating information. That makes prices more flexible. Note also that the internet is impacting a separate form of price flexibility -- the ability to charge different customers different prices. That subject will be discussed in another issue of Paradigm.
Why prices are sticky?
Physical, inventory and information costs
Markets for products that are perishable, such as airline seats and fresh fruit, should exhibit highly flexible prices. That is true also of markets where risks of holding inventories are high relative to margins, such as the NASDAQ or London stock markets.
Then there are information costs. Think of a hotel in which room prices adjust after each new booking. The price should be adjusted to reflect systematic changes in demand, not random fluctuations. But separating the two is difficult. It takes time for a trend to be revealed in the sales data and so price changes lag behind changes in demand. Any firm that holds inventory faces this problem. Prices changes may also lag demand changes simply because it takes time for demand information to reach a supplier. For LL Bean and other catalog sellers, there is a lag if the sale is transmitted by mail. For suppliers of LL Bean the problem is magnified. To summarize these three effects, the information cycle is slower if the physical cost of changing prices is high or if demand information aggregates slowly, and the information cycle is faster if the cost to producers of being left with inappropriate inventory is high.
A separate problem is that buyers will not allow themselves to become locked into a sale. Rather than going to a restaurant and then negotiating a price, after it has been revealed that the customer is hungry, buyers will simply not go to restaurants where prices fluctuate rapidly with demand. Moreover, where repeat use is required to determine quality because products are heterogeneous, buyers will demand the protection of sticky prices. Otherwise they will not start on the sampling process.
The internet helps reduce information asymmetry in three ways. One, the cost to the buyer of acquiring information about total supply is reduced, thereby reducing the information advantage of the seller. Two, the buyer can check out restaurant prices before leaving home, thereby avoiding lock-in. Three, the buyer can take the priceline.com approach and offer to buy from any vendor at a price the buyer specifies. In the last case the buyer has the informational advantage because the buyer's true valuation of the product is not revealed. The internet changes the level of information asymmetry, in the direction of increased price flexibility. For an example of buyers having an informational advantage over sellers consider labor negotiations.
Risk sharing and real options
Consider now the real option effect. A seller that offers a product for sale at a particular price, is granting an option to all potential buyers to purchase the product at that price. If the price can vary a great deal then the buyer will have to choose one of three actions: reject the product outright; buy now; or delay the decision until later when the price may have changed. If there is some uncertainty about whether the price will change, and if choosing to wait resolves some uncertainty about how the price will change, then the option to delay the decision is valuable and buyers will need a better deal before giving up that option by making a purchase. In this framework it is in the seller's interest to reduce the incentive to delay the purchase. The seller can do that by having a reputation of keeping prices fixed. In options parlance we would say that the option to delay (not purchase now) is more valuable when the price is more variable. That is essentially why retailers keep prices fixed except for special events which are called 'sales'. Of course 'sales' are also a form of price discrimination.