Going for the Gold: Who Will Win the 2008 Olympic Games in Beijing

The results of this study will be available shortly

Previous studies predicting total and gold medals by country in the 2004 and 2000 summer games in Athens and Sydney are available below:

The research and predictions for the Athens 2004 Summer Games

A table of predicted total medals and gold medals by country for the Athens 2004 Summer Games

Links to data and predictions for the Sydney Games:

Pre-Olympics predictions versus actual medal totals for the Sydney games

The published version of the original academic research report - (viewable only) published in the Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 86, Issue 1 - February 2004. This paper details the methodology and reports on the predictions made before the Sydney 2000 Games. (printable version - not journal formattted.)

Data used in the published paper (this is an excel spreadsheet).


An executive summary of the research and predictions for the 2000 Summer Games

Data on medal totals by country and year through 1996

Authors of the study:

Andrew B. Bernard is Director of the Center for International Business and Jack Byrne Professor of International Economics at the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College
Meghan R. Busse is Assistant Adjunct Professor of Economics at the Haas School of Business at UC Berkeley.

Contact info:
Andrew B. Bernard
(603) 646-0302
andrew.b.bernard at dartmouth.edu

© Copyright 2008 by Andrew B. Bernard